Saturday, July 26, 2008

SIxers follow Detroit model with Brand signing

There’s hope in Philadelphia again thanks to an $82 million part.

Who knew trading away Allen Iverson and Kyle Korver would do so much good?

Those moves allowed Philadelphia to sign highly sought after Elton Brand, who had been the Clippers' franchise forward, and now the Sixers have their best big man since the Round Mound of Rebound left town before the 1992-93 season.

Don’t be mistaken into thinking this is a Sixers team that will be dominated by the lethal one-two punch of Brand and Andre Iguodala, assuming he resigns.

Iguodala and Brand are both good players, all-star caliber players, but where do they fit in with in the pantheon of duos in the league? Not that high really. They aren’t as good as TMac and Yao. Kobe and Lamar are better too. Parker and Duncan…Not even close. What about the Eastern Conference? The only combination of the Boston’s big three that they might compare to is Allen and Pierce only because Brand might be better than Allen at this point -- might. Brand, after all, missed most of last season. What about Cleveland? LeBron and Z? Brand might be better than Z. It’s insulting to put (name deliberately left out) in the same sentence as either of Philly’s two stars.

Then why is there so much hope in Philadelphia? As good of an addition Brand is to a team that already had Igudola, there are a dozen teams that could put two players together and claim they have more talent than the Sixers top duo.

Simply put, the Sixers are built in the mold of the Pistons, who won a championship without the help of a future Hall of Fame player. They are the only team to win a championship without such a player in…..well….possibly ever.

The Sixers might not have individual standouts, but together they should be very good. They have a steady journeyman point guard, in Andre Miller, who isn’t easily rattled -- like the Pistons. They have a dominant power forward, in Brand who will be the catalyst for the offense. Sound familiar? Samuel Dalembert is one of the better shot blocking forces in the league. Think back to the real Ben Wallace. Thaddeus Young was a power forward in college and now he’s been moved to small forward. He creates matchup problems with other team’s small forwards because of his size. Tayshaun Prince has long arms. Young has big muscles. Igudola is as consistent of a scorer as it gets at shooting guard as long as he can get into the lane. The same can be said about Rip Hamilton and coming free off of screens.

The year before Detroit traded for Wallace, their offense sputtered in the playoffs without the presence of a low post scorer. Philly’s offense did the same thing against Detroit. Like when the Pistons added Wallace, now the Sixers have someone that can give them spacing only they won’t have to worry about Brand chucking it from the 3-point line.

The Sixers have hope, but it shouldn’t be from Brand’s singular dominance. They now have a chance to have a team, like Detroit, that’s better than the sum of its parts.

Even though one of those parts cost $82 million.

Friday, July 25, 2008

Already 3-team race for final spot in West

With the signing of Baron Davis and the trade for Marcus Camby, the Los Angeles Clippers should be considered the favorites for the final playoff spot next year, a spot Denver vacated after it traded Camby for nothing.

Denver was lucky to get to the playoffs anyway. The only reason the Nuggets took the eighth seed and not Golden State was an injury to Golden State center Andris Biedrins that took him out of action for a big chunk of March. The Warriors were so desperate that they dusted off Chris Webber and put him in the starting lineup.

That experiment worked about as well as it should have and C-Web left out the door faster than when he entered.

He didn’t leave as fast as Davis did through. Davis opted out of his Golden State contract and then signed a max contract the following day with the Clippers. The deal was so quick it appeared to have gone down sight unseen unless the Clippers and Davis already had the principles of the deal ironed out before he opted out. But that’s a story for another day.

Today the topic is the Clippers and how the addition of Davis and Camby has shifted the balance of mediocre power by adding to the Clippers all-star level scoring and rebounding and playmaking ability.

They’ll have a front line of Camby, Kaman, and Al Thornton, one that should be tougher than most Western Conference teams. Camby, who said this week he’s going to be motivated by Denver’s giving him away, will be able to move to power forward, the position that most suits his skill set.

The Clippers main question now is shooting guard. They have undersized veteran Cutino Mobley or Quinton Ross. All they need there is someone who can man-up on defense and can hit an open jump shot.

Golden State tried to cover the loss of Davis by signing Corey Maggette. He will help. He’ll cancel out Davis in the scoring department, but he’s hasn’t shown he has Davis’ moxy. Davis will often lead the team in scoring, but he also rebounds like a forward and assists like a guard. In any game, he is a threat to post a triple-double.

Maggette will score 25 points, but have four rebounds and two assists. His slashing game should thrive in Don Nelson’s open court style, and his free throw numbers should go up, increasing his scoring average. Ultimately the Warriors won’t win unless they can find a true point guard. Perhaps it’s Monta Ellis, who they finally signed to a long-term deal yesterday.

Monta Ellis, Stephen Jackson and Corey Maggette sounds like a pretty good guard/forward tandem and with Andris Biedrins and All Harrington there as big men, they should be all right.

The Trailblazers are in the conversation because Brandon Roy sometimes looks like Chris Paul with the ball in his hands. He’s the wildcard in Portland’s ascension next season. He looks like he’d going to be a top point guard in the league for a long time. But it’s going to be Greg Oden’s first season. Roy’s wizardry is going to have to make up for Oden’s mistakes.

The biggest growth curve for the 7-0 center from Ohio State is going to be how he handles the double team in the NBA. His first task will be forcing the double-team, second will be learning how to take it and third will be passing out of it. Only the best master the fourth -- turning away from it to score.

Thursday, July 24, 2008

Jordan legacy tied to Okafor decision

As a player Michael Jordan didn’t want Isaiah Thomas on the Dream Team. The two were giants of the late 80s and early 90s and found it difficult to fit their personas in the same room. The thing that made them winners also repelled them from each other.

It might also be the thing that has made them both front office failures. One-on-one and even in small groups it must be hard to say no to either Jordan or Thomas after watching them make so many right decisions on the court. In the front office though, their decision-making might not be as flawless, but it's difficult to separate the two. Thomas has turned into an abject failure as a front-office man, certainly he made some bad decisions. Jordan might not be too far behind.

But Jordan still has another chance.

He and the Charlotte Bobcats are facing their biggest decision to date. What are they going to do with Emeka Okafor? When Charlotte drafted the 6-foot-10 forward from Connecticut in 2004, he was supposed to become the face of the franchise. That year they surrounded him with fresh young talent. With seven years in the league apiece, point guard Brevin Knight and forward Corey Alexander were the team’s elder statesmen. Bobcats management seemed content letting a young team grow together and they hired a coach in Bernie Bickerstaff, that hadn’t had great success as a coach, but he’d been around the block a few times and his knowledge was thought to be good for a young team. If anything, the Bobcats at least had a plan.

Then after three seasons Charlotte fired Bickerstaff and replaced him with Sam Vincent, who had no coaching experience, but he had Jordan as a reference The two played together in Chicago and he was hired a year after Jordan's deal to own a piece of the team was finalized. Majority owner Bob Johnson hardly had a choice. No one but Jordan's high school basketball coach had ever said no to Jordan in North Carolina, and you see what people think of that coach. Dumbest decision ever, right? Plus, Charlotte has already sent one team packing.

Before Bickerstaff’s final season the team's direction started to seem uncertain. They brought in journeyman Othella Harrington and he couldn’t stay healthy. Then last year they traded Brendan Wright, at young prospect a power forward for Jason Richardson, a great scorer that had lost some explosiveness since he had come into the league. There’s no doubt Richardson is a better player than Wright, but adding him from the Warriors -- a team that made it to the second round of the playoffs in 2007 -- it seemed to put the Bobcats in a win-now mode. In their fourth year of existence, they were going with veterans now instead of developing rookies.

They were looking for a winner -- like, today. No team whose front office has associated with Michael Jordan has had a winning record and he can't like that. But it's a fact.

Jordan was in the front office of the Wizards from 2000-02 before he decided to come back to play for two seasons. They once won 19 games and never won more than 37 games in a season. He drafted Kwame Brown out of high school with the first overall pick in 2001. He traded Rip Hamilton for fellow North Carolina alum Jerry Stackhouse in 2002. When Jordan thought Brown wasn’t developing fast enough, he called him out in the media.

After two losing seasons with the Bobcats, Jordan is starting to look no better than Thomas when it comes to making basketball decisions in the front office, but still, when Jordan talks, people listen -- for good or ill.

Perhaps that’s why ownership forced him out of Washington, not offering him a share of the team when he retired again. With Jordan out of the way, the Wizards eventually acquired Gilbert Arenas, Antwan Jamison and Caron Butler. They have been winners since Jordan left, making the playoffs in three of the four year’s he’s been gone.

Now if Jordan is going to be part of a winner, he’s going to have to help the team make the right decision with Okafor, a player that’s not spectacular but effective. He’s a lot better than most big men teams have. Going into his fifth year in the league, his peak is still ahead of him. He’s not Nazr Mohammed and he’s not Kwame Brown. In both cases that is a good thing.

He’s not the Bobcats’ only big man. They have other players there, veteran players, and they could use a veteran point guard. Okafor wants around $12 million per year, yet isn’t an offensive threat. But he can rebound. He was a dominant shot-blocker in college although he's only been over the two-blocks per game plateau once in this three healthy seasons.

The decision Jordan and company are going to have to make is are they willing to go with Mohammed at center in exchange for a veteran point guard, assuming a sign-and-trade with Okafor, or are they willing to stick with Okafor at center and a rookie at point guard.

Pay Okafor the money, and the Bobcats already have a center and a developing point guard. Trade Okafor and they buy time for their point guard, but they may never have as capable of a center.

The safe bet is keep Okafor and let the rookie develop. But it’s up to Jordan.

When he talks, people listen.

It’s his legacy on the line.

Wednesday, July 23, 2008

Hawks really don't need the pioneer Childress

Atlanta Hawks forward Josh Childress laid down his ace of spades this week — an all expenses paid trip to Greece. All he has to do is agree to play basketball for Olympiakos a Greek team in the Euroleague, and they will pay him $20 million tax free over three years.

Childress would be the biggest American name in to say no to an NBA contract and take one overseas instead. We can call Childress a pioneer if he makes the move. It would give others like him a new magazine of ammo and international teams that play in countries with western cultures will know NBA players can be had. Not just the rejects, but bona the fide stars. David Stern has been obsessed with the globalization of the game. But for the most part it’s been a one-way pipeline. We show them the game is cool and in turn they send us their best players.

That notion is changing. The dollar isn’t the powerhouse it once was and neither is NBA basketball. There are a lot of rich team owners abroad too, rich enough to shell out American dollars, or even better, tax-free Euros.

Right now the NBA still has prestige on its side, the big stars are still going to sell Nikes. But if Childress goes abroad and finds that its not so bad out there, companies won’t be far behind him. Interested in globalization? Well, this is part of it. The United States is just one of many countries in the world, andif there’s going to be globalization, we’re going to be one of the biggest forces behind it. That doesn’t just mean us benefiting from them. They're also going to benefit from us. For Olympiakos that means getting a 25-year-old swingman that has helped turnaround the once decrepit Hawks by averaging 11 points and 4.5 rebounds per game.

Atlanta just has to hope that Childress is not a pioneer. They have to hope that he doesn’t want to go that far away from home, even for nearly $7 million tax-free dollars a year. They have to hope he doesn’t want to etch his name in history.

Even though he’s already been to South Africa with the NBA Without Boarders program, even though he’s been a mentor with the Young Black Scholars and even though he left Stanford early but enrolled in Georgia State upon coming to town, they have to hope they were wrong about him being a leader.

It looks like the NBA is on the verge of a paradigm shift.

But wait…Maybe the truth is Childress is just more valuable to Olympiakos than he would be to the Hawks. Maybe blazing a trail has nothing to do with it. Childress grew up learning about a free-market economy right? Maybe this is nothing but pure economic force. Simple supply and demand. The Hawks are in supply of swingmen, Olympiakos is demanding one. International teams have been giving the NBA big men for years. They’re in short supply over here. Atlanta needs one now.

If they played tomorrow, without Childress, but had Josh Smith, Mike Bibby would be at the point and Joe Johnson at the two. Marvin Williams can play the three. Not bad. Where the real problem comes in is Josh Smith and Al Horford are both power forwards and one of them is going to have to play center. That’s Atlanta’s real problem.

So, good luck in Greece Josh, the pioneer. But remember one thing. Atlanta has your rights if you end up wanting to come back after this year or the next.

Tuesday, July 22, 2008

OKC has ingredients to overcome moving day

Oklahoma City is going to have a basketball now. The Oklahoma City Five. One man’s trash is another man’s treasure. Welcome Kevin Durant to your permanent home. It’s cattle country, hope you don’t mind. Free agents might, but that’s why you’re here.

Free agents? We don't need no stinkin' free agents.

Moving is a real pain, the packing, the saying good-bye. A player like Durant has probably become used to it. Oklahoma City is going to be the fourth city in as many years that has housed his home court. He should be used to it, as should fellow rookie Jeff Green. Those two just moved to Seattle anyway. Breaking up with friends after a year isn’t that hard.

But for almost everyone else, moving to a new town will be harder. Oklahoma City will play in front of sellout home crowds next year, and the players will need that energy to offset a lack of their own. When you’re moving, free time gets cut down. That or work time. A veteran might already be chalking up this next year a lost cause, a moving year. There isn’t enough time in the day to workout, relocate and relax. Something has to give. For a veteran with a guaranteed contract, work is going to pay anyway. There’s no way to avoid the moving pain and free time is the most important time.

The last five teams to switch cities in the NBA have done well just to maintain the record they’ve had the previous season.

Of the last five teams to relocate from a year before -- Memphis (2004), New Orleans (2002), Sacramento (1985), Los Angeles Clippers (1984) and Utah (1979) -- Sacramento made the biggest improvement from one year to the next, six games. The Kings won 31 games in their final year in Kansas City in 1984-85 and upped that total to 36 wins the next season. On the other hand Utah did the worst after moving from New Orleans following the 1978-79 season and that was only a two-game difference. The Jazz too also had little firepower. They won 26 games the year before moving to Utah.

For the most part teams stay even. The Hornets won 44 games and then 46 games. The Clippers won 30 games and improved to 31. The Grizzles didn’t do any better, winning 23 games their last year in Vancouver and their first year in Memphis.

The more telling sign is when can these teams expect a winner. In most cases that depends on what kind of young prospect they can develop. The Kings and Clippers have been bad for most of their existence in their new cities. It took Sacramento 14 years before it made the playoffs and the Clippers eight. But that one playoff year for the Clippers in 1991-92 was an aberration.

The main component to getting good in a new city is drafting a good young player that can grow with the team. The turmoil that surrounds these franchises when they move doesn’t exactly make them free agent magnets and Oklahoma City isn’t going to carry the same cache as New Orleans or Los Angeles. It’s Oklahoma City, there’s not a professional sports franchise around for a far as the eye can see. What can that mean? Ask Utah. The only players that make a difference there are players they force there through the draft.

Drafting John Stockton was the reason it only took the Jazz four seasons to get into the playoffs. For Memphis, who needed three seasons, it was the development of Pau Gasol, who gave the Grizzles a center when most teams didn’t have one. New Orleans was a playoff team when they left Charlotte and made the playoffs in their first season in the Crescent City. But then Baron Davis left and things fell apart. Then a great storm wrecked the city. They spent time in the doldrums until Chris Paul pulled them out. New Orleans is a situation that will be forever unique. At least the Hornets will be able to get free agents to New Orleans.

As for Oklahoma City, at least they’re coming to town with a little meat on their bones because that’s all they could have to eat for awhile.

Sunday, July 20, 2008

George steps into Posey's place in FA market

With James Posey moving to New Orleans, there is going to be a renewed interest in Mavericks free agent, Devean George, who is basically the same type of player, one who can come in as a backup small forward or shooting guard. He’s won championships with the Lakers and has played in more big games with Dallas. It should be a priority that Dallas keep him, but after the younger Antoine Wright as a swingman with the idea of adding depth, there might not be the money left in Dallas to feed into that position. George will have some higher value with other teams as someone that can come in and be the seventh or eighth man. There is not reason that all the teams that were seriously in play for Posey shouldn’t be lining up for George — and they can probably get him at a reduced rate.